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April 20, 2021 by ash 0 Comments

HomeBuilder construction deadline extended

The federal government has extended the deadline to begin construction under the HomeBuilder grants program by an additional 12 months.

Those who were eligible for the grant before its March 31 conclusion – some 121,000 building applications, according to the government – will now have 18 months after signing contracts to commence construction.

This is a year longer than previously allowed.

“This extension in the commencement date for which the first slab can be laid is a very important step,” Treasurer Josh Frydenberg told reporters.

“It will help ensure a pipeline of economic activity.

“This program has grown over time because more people have decided to use this grant to fulfil their own dreams … you have to remember when we put this program in place to start with, jobs were being lost on building sites across the country.”

Mr Frydenberg said the scheme would cost the government $2.5 billion but had helped tip some $30 billion into Australia’s construction sector amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

Approvals to build private homes hit a record high in February, fuelled by HomeBuilder and record low interest rates.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics said since the introduction of HomeBuilder in June 2020, private house approvals have risen by almost 70 per cent.

In February, home approvals jumped by 15.1 per cent to 13,939 houses, breaching the previous peak set in December last year.

The HomeBuilder scheme was introduced during the depths of the COVID-19 pandemic and late last year was extended to March, although the size of grants was trimmed from $25,000 to $15,000.

The Property Council of Australia on Saturday welcomed the deadline change, saying HomeBuilder had been an “economic bullseye” and the extension would ease pressure on home builders to begin construction quickly.

The Housing Industry Association said its members had been constrained by supply chain issues and labour pressures, and needed the additional time.

“The uptake of HomeBuilder has created a lifeline of work for tradies and helped support tens of thousands of first home buyers to achieve their dream of owning a home,” the HIA’s Graham Wolfe said in a statement.

“Members have been severely impacted by global supply constraints and labour pressures. Builders and their clients have also been juggling delays in finance approvals, planning and building approvals and land title.”

Master Builders Australia chief executive Denita Wawn said 70 per cent of builders were struggling with delays or cost increases for labour and materials, and they could now space out their construction pipeline.

The Labor opposition also welcomed the change, with housing spokesman Jason Clare saying it “should have been made a long time ago”.

But Housing Minister Michael Sukkar said: “The opposition did not support the HomeBuilder program, the opposition opposed HomeBuilder … the opposition sadly has been left wanting when it comes to the residential construction industry.”

View all information here https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ND9OBY2OzaiDDq8urdj9sx8bTI5C2xcW

April 13, 2021 by ash 0 Comments

Tenants offer up to $100 more a week to secure properties as moratoriums lift

Tenants in some capital cities are offering up to $100 a week in extra rent to secure sought-after rental properties, as eviction moratoriums end amid the country’s two-speed rental market.

Some landlords are also taking the opportunity to raise their asking prices as crisis-era bans on rent hikes expire.

At the height of the pandemic last year, states and territories in Australia implemented bans on evictions and freezes to rental increases to safeguard tenants affected by COVID-19 as incomes dried up and job losses rippled throughout the country.

A year on, the health situation has improved with many returning to work and each jurisdiction either easing rental safeguards or lifting them entirely.

In Perth, tenants are offering anywhere from $30 to $50 and even up to $100 extra per week in their rental applications to secure a home due to the shortage of rental properties, according to Arena Real Estate Agents leasing consultant Joe Hotchin-Lott.

It comes as the city’s rental vacancy held at a tight 0.7 per cent in March, Domain data shows.

Landlords have been able to increase rents in Western Australia since March 29, and Mr Hotchin-Lott said many tenants were opting to renew their lease, agreeing to rental increases because there were so few homes to choose from.

“When you have that 12-month block [on rent rises], we’re seeing those rent increases appearing in large blocks,” he said. “Normally you can budget for a $20 or $30 increase but when you see a $50 increase people are getting a bit scared.”

Travel bans have also added pressure to Perth’s rental market, with mining companies requiring traditional FiFo workers to stay put rather than paying for two-week quarantine costs, he said.

“I’ve seen people offer $50 or $100 more to secure a place. A lot of people are begging at home opens. I do feel for them … unfortunately, I have a job to do.”

n Hobart, the city has been plagued with high asking rents and few homes to choose from for years as many rental properties were turned into short-stay accommodation to cater for Tasmania’s booming tourism.

But that changed last year due to the pandemic as the market was “flooded with fully furnished properties” that were converted back into long-term rentals so landlords could avoid losses, according to Bec MacGregor, head of property management at Ray White Hobart.

Despite the rise in supply, strong demand from newly arrived and cashed-up mainlanders meant many landlords opted to keep their properties on the long-term market because it was easier to secure rental income than short-term lets.

“It is really hard for local renters … people move down here on really good incomes. People who live [locally] can’t afford the rents down here,” Ms MacGregor said.

Since the moratorium was lifted, some landlords have taken advantage of raising rents while others decided against taking action.

“As soon as that [moratorium] was lifted on February 1 the [landlords’] expectations were that their rents should be increased,” she said. “I’ve had a couple of other owners who have said people are still trying to find their feet so we will look at rent increases next year.”

Hobart’s vacancy rate has tightened in the past month to just 0.4 per cent in March, down from 0.6 per cent in February.

In Canberra, the combination of returning DFAT personnel from overseas and various embassy staff extending their leases was squeezing the availability of rentals, Purnell’s head of property management Brie Purnell said.

The city’s vacancy rate tightened to 0.7 per cent in March, down from 0.9 per cent in February.

But a strong jobs market in the national capital meant many tenants have barely felt the same pinch, said Ms Purnell, who leases inner-city properties.

“What [was] probably the strangest part of our experience in Canberra is it seemed to be business as usual,” Ms Purnell said. “We do feel quite insulated from the bigger consequences of COVID.”

Only a fraction of tenants required a rent reduction during COVID-19, Ms Purnell said, adding the easing of Canberra’s rental moratorium barely made a difference to many well-off tenants.

“The majority of our tenants are public servants as a result of parliament house and government departments around these inner suburbs,” she said. “ A lot of our tenants’ employment remained quite secure.”

April 9, 2021 by ash 0 Comments

Why there’s not enough property for sale right now

The number of property listings on the market slumped in the run-up to Easter, leading to fears home prices will surge further as demand continues to outpace supply.

With the volume of houses and units for sale in Sydney dropping last week by 12 per cent over the week before, in Brisbane by 8 per cent, in Adelaide by 9.7 per cent and Darwin by 11.4 per cent, Melbourne showed a miniscule rise of 1.5 per cent.

The only other exceptions to the downward trend were Hobart, where listings rose by 18.7 per cent for the week to March 28, Canberra by 10.7 per cent, and Perth by 7.1 per cent.

While many vendors tend to avoid the Easter break as it can prove disruptive to a sales campaign, especially with school holidays tagged on, and Anzac Day, it seems there are mightier forces at work.

“I think we’re currently seeing a depletion of current stock in the market, where buyers are absorbing all the old listings as well as the new as there’s a real shortage of supply,” said Domain senior research analyst Nicola Powell.

“That’s likely to translate into stronger price growth, so there’ll be a point at which affordability is going to bite, which will end up deterring some buyers, especially first-home buyers. Most markets are really robust,” Dr Powell said.

“We’re seeing strong demand, higher house finance and in Sydney, we’ve had a clearance rate of over 80 per cent for eight weeks in a row, while in Melbourne last weekend we saw the highest volume of auctions since 2018.”

The monthly figures show low listings, too, actually dropping 11.8 per cent in Darwin over the previous month and rising only by 4.5 per cent in Sydney, 1.8 per cent in Brisbane, but by 8.6 per cent in Melbourne and jumping by a substantial 14.5 per cent in Adelaide. In Hobart, the monthly rise was tiny, at 2 per cent and Canberra at 2.1 per cent, while in Perth listings leapt up by a massive 25.8 per cent.

But with low listings over most state capitals, the danger is that the shortage of stock could spiral, with a lack of supply dissuading potential vendors from putting their homes on the market in case they can’t find anything to buy.

That’s true for some pockets of Melbourne, says Margaret Duncan, of Belle Property St Kilda. She’s struggling with a lack of stock generally, and a lack of bigger family homes – in huge demand after the COVID-19 lockdown made locals keener to have more space for the future – in particular.

“People now want to buy something a bit bigger because they’ve spent so much time huddled together, they can’t bear the thought of doing that again,” Ms Duncan said. “But, for every one we sell, we have the under-bidder and the under-under bidders all looking for more, and people not wanting to sell in case they can’t find something.

“With such a lot of competition for limited listings, it’s pushing prices up and up.”

In Sydney, it’s the same story. Listings are down now, but everyone’s hoping they might pick up after Easter – yet there are no guarantees.

“There’s a 100 per cent shortage of listings and I can’t really see when it’s going to free up,” said Debbie Donnelley, of PPD Real Estate. “It’s an absolutely crazy market, and it looks only about to get crazier.”

A two-bedroom apartment she recently sold on Etham Avenue, Darling Point, in original 60-year-old condition, had a reserve of $2 million but sold for $3.3 million, at the same time as a two-bedroom house, also unrenovated, sold for $2.4 million instead of its expected $2 million.

That kind of frenzy is being felt across the country. In Canberra, Luke McAuliffe, of Luton Properties Gungahlin, just had 100 groups through a three-bedroom house in Ngunnawal on its first open-for-inspection, and 80 through another property in Taylor.

“There hasn’t been a chance for stock to keep up with demand,” Mr McAuliffe said. “Supply just can’t keep up. It’s hard to say when it’ll ever even up, or slow down.”

In Brisbane, the low number of listings, with only a 1.8 per cent rise over the month, is also putting pressure on prices.

“We’ve had an undersupply of property for the last three months and the market is coming through very strongly with some good sales,” said Jackson Evenden, of Ray White Sherwood.

“With low listings, we’ve achieved good prices, but the momentum going forward we feel will encourage more people to put their properties on the market in the hope of getting 15, 20 or 25 per cent over what they might have got 12 months ago. And, then, worst case scenario, they’ll just rent until more property comes on.”

April 1, 2021 by ash 0 Comments

The top regional locations for affordability and sustainable growth

Queensland also takes the second and third position in the charts with Mackay LGA and Toowoomba, respectively.

In NSW, Port Stephens LGA, Greater Hume Region Federation LGA and Federation LGA make the top ten list.

Representing Victoria are Greater Bendigo City, Greater Geelong LGA and Warrnambool.

Tasmania’s Circular Head takes the final position in the top ten line up.

Regional areas have become the most attractive option throughout 2020, with evidence of buyers capitalising on lower median property prices.

The ‘PRD Stand Out Regions’ report highlights affordable regional areas in QLD, VIC, NSW, and TAS.

These areas have median price affordability and provide strong indicators for property investment, local employment growth, and a sustainable economic future.

The selection criteria includes:

Affordability: The Local Government Area (LGA) has a median price below the maximum affordable property sale price.

Trends: The LGA will have 20 transactions or more in 2019 and 2020, with positive price growth within that time.

Investment: To ensure solid investment opportunities, the LGA will have an on-par or higher rental yield than its capital city, as well as an on-par or lower vacancy rate.

Development: There will be a high estimated value of future project development, with a higher concentration of commercial and infrastructure projects to ensure a positive economic outlook.

Unemployment: As of the September quarter of 2020, the LGA will have an on-par or lower unemployment rate than the state average to ensure there is local job growth.

According to the report, there has been a high influx of first home buyers that have entered the property market in 2020, resulting in a growth of 50.4% between the December quarters of 2019 and 2020. This further boosted an already strong market with record low-interest rates and increasingly lenient bank lending policies.

March 30, 2021 by ash 0 Comments

Priced-out city first-home buyers turn to ‘rentvesting’ in regional markets

Desperate first-home hopefuls locked out of expensive capital cities are renting in the city and investing in more affordable regional property markets rather than leaving their cash in the bank, buyer’s agents said.

Stunning major-city price growth has caught out many buyers, quickly leaving them behind since the market began to bounce back last year.

The recovery has continued this year with the strongest pace of growth for years. Sydney property values jumped 2.5 per cent and Melbourne rose 2.1 per cent in February alone, on CoreLogic data.

As a result, many potential first-home buyers have been priced out of their dream suburbs despite reasonable borrowing power and good deposits – which, in an ultra-low interest rate environment, are all but collecting dust in the bank.

It has prompted many first-home buyers in the past six months to reconsider “rentvesting”, BFP Property Buyers founder and principal Ben Plohl said – parking their money in an investment property while they continue to rent in their desired location.

In one instance, a first-home buyer with a $1 million budget struggled to find a suitable two-bedroom apartment on Sydney’s lower north shore.

“Unfortunately, given the market has run away from some people, we’ve said unfortunately you can’t get into the suburb or pocket where you rent now,” Mr Plohl said.

That buyer has since split their $1 million budget into two regional markets with plans to buy a property in Albury-Wodonga and another in Bendigo.

While it is unlikely they will cash out of those markets anytime soon, the plan is to build a property portfolio in locations with strong rental yields and capital growth potential to eventually buy back into Sydney, Mr Plohl said.

Another first-home buyer on the Central Coast with a budget of $550,000 decided to rentvest in Newcastle after being priced out of the one-bedroom apartment market in Sydney’s inner west.

Instead they purchased a three-bedroom house on a 600-square-metre block in Maryland, 14 kilometres west of Newcastle’s CBD, which Mr Plohl said had already seen some price growth.

These buyers are not alone, with a third of Gen Zs wanting the ability to work and rent in the city while still owning an investment property in a holiday town, according to ING Australia research that surveyed more than 1000 Australians.

The survey also highlighted top reasons to invest in property, with 40 per cent of Australians wanting to safeguard their future or their family’s future, while 37 per cent were motivated by low interest rates and a similar number wanted extra income.

Melbourne first-home buyers are also turning to rentvesting after struggling to get onto the property ladder in the city, with Victoria’s housing market taking off since restrictions eased both in the capital and surrounding regional markets.

“Through COVID [regional markets] have outperformed metro cities so a lot of people are getting their cake and eating it too,” said Cate Bakos, president of the Real Estate Buyers Agents Association of Australia.

In a low-interest-rate environment many buyers are able to yield a strong rental return that will cover mortgage repayments or even deliver some positive income, Ms Bakos said.

One Melburnian bought a house in Grovedale, Geelong, for $451,000 as an investment property after being priced out of Boronia, which had a median house price of $700,000 over the 12 months to December 2020 on Domain data.

“They’re hoping to improve the property with a bit of elbow grease, get the rent up and work on the property to pay itself down,” Ms Bakos said. “When they have a bit of equity they will tap into that and buy a home in Melbourne.”

Buyers were cautioned not to expect short-term gains in regional markets, Ms Bakos said, despite recent performance, because rentvesting was better suited to buying and holding for a longer period.

Streamline Property Buyers managing director Melinda Jennison said she had received dozens of inquiries from first-home buyers in Sydney and Melbourne hoping to buy in Brisbane.

“We get about 10 to 15 inquiries every week because they’re priced out of Sydney and Melbourne,” Ms Jennison said.

One Sydney buyer was hoping to purchase an entry-level three-bedroom house in Brisbane along a transport line for about $600,000 with a predicted growth of 20 to 30 per cent in the next five years in Brisbane, Ms Jennison said, yet was facing strong competition.

“That’s over $150,000 of equity growth … that’s more than the client can save themselves. At least their money is working harder for them by parking their money in property while they continue to save.”

ANZ has revised its forecast expecting Brisbane house prices to rise by 16 per cent by year’s end but Finder’s senior editor for home loans Sarah Megginson said buyers needed to be wary of the fluctuating property cycle.

“The goal of rentvesting is to buy an asset that appreciates in value over time, so you can use the profits to one day buy your own home. But, there is the risk that you’ll buy an investment property that doesn’t grow in value,” Ms Megginson said.

“We’re not out of the water with COVID-19 just yet, and there is still potential for future market volatility – all it would take is another outbreak and extended lockdown or economic slump to see market conditions shift really sharply.”

March 25, 2021 by ash 0 Comments

How did Australia’s property market go from predicted collapse to roaring comeback?

Experts predicted 20% drops. But 12 months after COVID-19, prices are soaring.

Exactly a year ago, things were looking bad for the Australian property market, and everything else. The pandemic was just getting started, with lockdowns, unemployment and the sudden end of the travel of the industry.

For anyone wanting to sell and buy property, open inspections switched to private viewings and auctions went online. House prices began to fall.

“Vendors are anxious, fearful and panicked. Many are bringing auctions forward or cancelling campaigns,” Real Estate Buyers Agents Association of Australia Cate Bakos told Finder in March last year.

Real estate agents were forced to cancel open inspections, in some cases even offering remote viewing via phone.

Experts suggested that in the worst-case scenario, Australian property prices could fall by 20%.

But 12 months later the Australian property market is in a completely different position. Defying the worst predictions, property prices are soaring. Auction clearance rates are high. First home buyers are back in a big way.

Property prices did fall. But not by anywhere near as much as they might have. At a national level, Australian property prices only fell from May to September of 2020 before recovering.

Melbourne, having faced the most prolonged lockdowns, saw the biggest drops. According to CoreLogic, the median 3-month average sales price for Melbourne property peaked at $712,000 in December 2019.

This average fell by 8% to $648,875 but has now crept back up $708,000, just short of the pre-COVID-19 peak.

Sydneys’ median property price was $889,992 in May last year, according to CoreLogic figures. It fell down to $859,943 in September.

Now that median sits at $895,933 and Westpac economists are predicting a further 10% rise in prices this year.

And property prices are growing in other cities and regional areas too. 2021 is looking to be a very strong year for Australian property prices. But how did we get here? How did the market go from a predicted COVID-collapse to a boom?

There are multiple factors driving prices upward now:

  • COVID-19 under control. It’s an obvious point but Australia’s handling of the pandemic has allowed something like normal life to resume for many of us. The fact that real estate transactions were only briefly interrupted has definitely helped the property market grow.
  • Low interest rates. The Reserve Bank lowered the cash rate several times before and during the pandemic. It did this not to raise house prices specifically but to boost spending and encourage economic growth. But it has resulted in historically low interest rates on home loans, making it cheaper for buyers to borrow more money.
  • First home buyer policies. Government policies aimed at helping home buyers, such as the First Home Loan Deposit Scheme and HomeBuilder, have given a few first time buyers a boost at a crucial time.
  • Recent price falls. The current growth in prices comes off the back of a very uneven period. From 2017 until 2020, prices in cities like Melbourne and Sydney fell, then rose, then fell again as COVID-19 struck. While still ridiculously expensive, prices had room to rise. Even now they’re only getting back to previous peaks in some cities.
  • Availability of credit. In addition to low interest rates, lenders are a little more flexible now than they were a few years ago. It’s a bit easier to get a home loan now than it was in, say, 2018 or 2019, and with government plans to simplify lending rules it could soon get even easier.

In short, COVID-19 and the economic decline that followed, along with government policy, created a situation in which property prices were bound to rise.

But it isn’t all a story of growth. For renters in certain parts of the country, notably inner-city Sydney and Melbourne apartments, rents have fallen. This is partly because travel and immigration numbers have plummeted during the pandemic, and partly because renters have flocked to suburbs with more space.

And property investment activity remains low. It’s first home buyers currently driving growth. Of course, that might change as property gets more expensive and investors start chasing big gains again.

March 18, 2021 by ash 0 Comments

Brisbane rental vacancy level lowest since 2012

Record-low rates, government support and stimulus measures ,and the pandemic-driven rush north by Melburnians and Sydneysiders have turbo- charged the recovery under way in Brisbane’s private rental market, pushing the vacancy rate down to a near nine-year low.

Greater Brisbane’s rental vacancy rate fell to 1.5 per cent last month from 1.7 per cent in January and was well down from 2.2 per cent a year earlier, new figures from consultancy SQM Research show, driving the overall rate in the Queensland capital to a level it last touched in July 2012.

The population growth that saw the Sunshine State gain a net 7237 people from interstate in the September quarter – while NSW shed 4110 and Victoria lost 3749 – has compounded a recovery that was already under way after the apartment-building boom triggered a private rental market vacancy rate that REIQ figures show peaked at 4.1 per cent in December 2016.

“Over 2020 there was a real acceleration in interstate migration towards Queensland and generally speaking, Brisbane is the first port of call in Queensland,” SQM managing director Louis Christopher said.

“Queensland was picking up Victorian residents – when they were allowed in, of course – they were picking up residents from Sydney and so I believe that there’s been an acceleration. But construction and dwelling completions haven’t yet responded. This is what’s leading the rental vacancy downwards.”

The tight market is already stimulating more development. Red & Co founder David Laverty, who last month acquired a $4.75 million development site in inner-city Albion, said rising rents were a leading indicator of rising capital values.

Turnaround city: Brisbane’s vacancy rate has dropped to a nine-year low. Lydia Lynch “It’s not really a natural cycle because no one really predicted we were going to have this massive boom,” said Brisbane-based Asti Mardiasmo, the chief economist of PRD Nationwide.

NO ONE REALLY PREDICTED WE WERE GOING TO HAVE THIS MASSIVE BOOM.
— PRD Nationwide economist Asti Mardiasmo

“If you remember at the beginning of 2020 we were all saying the market is going strong at the moment … then the pandemic happened and everyone predicted we were going to crash. Then the government intervened and the RBA intervened.

“Because of these interventions, it has created an extraordinary cycle in the housing market. No one predicted we were going to be seeing double-digit price increases in some areas. No one predicted that rental prices will be increasing.”

Greater Brisbane had 12,332 properties for rent in January last year, when over 6000 units and houses were vacant, SQM figures show. After dropping to 9644 rental properties on market in March last year, the figure jumped back over 11,500 in April, likely boosted by owners of short- stay rentals putting their homes on the long-stay market, Mr Christopher said.

The city had 7378 vacant properties last week, comprising 4306 units and 3072 houses.
But while the fast-recovering market and the factors underpinning it have prevented many of the initial worries, particularly for renters, from being realised, it has also created new concerns for them.

“At the beginning of the pandemic, everyone was scared about whether or not they were going to have a place to live because they might be losing their jobs and couldn’t afford to stay in their place,” Dr Mardiasmo said.

“Now, people can’t find a place to live because there are too many people looking for somewhere to live. There is not enough supply and rental prices have gone up. It’s really ironic.”

March 16, 2021 by ash 0 Comments

Aussie property market could ‘overheat’ after borders open.

The reopening of Australia’s international borders could have the potential to put further pressure on already-high house prices and even overheat the market entirely, experts warn.

Recent Corelogic data shows Australian house prices jumped a huge 2.1 per cent in February in what was the largest month-on-month increase in 17 years.

The data showed that Sydney’s median house price increased by 4.8 per cent over the last three months while Melbourne’s median house price rose by 4.2 per cent.

AMP Capital chief economist Shane Oliver told Domain Group that a careful and slow and gradual reopening of international borders is needed to ensure a sudden spike in housing demand doesn’t send house prices skyrocketing even further.

He points out that rather than allow immigration to suddenly jump back to what it was before, by gradually phasing back its return, the property market would be able to adjust without becoming even more overheated.

“If we were to allow a return to normal immigration levels then you’re suddenly doubling demographic demand again at a time when the property market is still hot from low interest rates, then that could cause a real problem in terms of adding pressure on prices and worsening affordability,” he said.

The migration influx would also come at a time when the property market is already experiencing strong demand thanks to a palpable change in market sentiment which has translated into strong buyer activity at a time when there isn’t much good stock on the market.

According to property investment expert Michael Yardney, there is already a “perfect storm” of factors suggesting that 2021 will be a great year for property investors:

  • Consumer confidence has been gradually improving, as has business confidence
  • COVID numbers are very low and the prospects the success of our vaccination program is excellent,
  • Our economy is improving faster than many expected and likely to grow strongly in 2021-22
  • Auction clearance rates remain consistently strong, not just in the two big auction capital of Melbourne and Sydney but around Australia.
  • While more buyers and sellers are in the market and transaction numbers have increased considerably, the lack of good quality properties for sale has created a seller’s market, where buyers have little choice and are pushing up values of “A grade” homes and investment grade properties.
  • At the same time, the banks are keen to write new business – another positive for our housing markets.
  • Bank loan deferrals have been falling – there’s no chance of an avalanche of forced mortgagee sales as many were worried about last year.
  • The “guarantee” by the RBA of interest rates remaining low for at least 3 years is giving home buyers and investors confidence to commit to purchasing properties
  • Moving forward further jobs creation, consumer confidence and business confidence (leading to spending and employment) will underpin our housing markets.

When will migration levels return to pre-covid?

According to the Centre for Population, it could be three years before net overseas migration returns to pre-pandemic levels.

In the last full financial year before the pandemic hit, Australia’s net overseas migration was 239,7000.

It fell to 154,100 in the 2020-21 financial year, and is forecast to drop to -71,600 this financial year and to -21,000 in 2021-22, before returning to positive growth of 95,900 in 2022-23 and 201,100 in 2023-24.

The National Housing Finance and Investment Corporation (NHFIC) has warned that housing affordability could worsen from 2023, particularly if supply doesn’t respond to demand when it recovers on the back of international borders reopening.

So what will happen to our property markets if borders don’t open?

Economist Saul Eslake recently told The Sydney Morning Herald that recent gains in the housing boon are unlikely to be undone.

“I would say the rise in house prices is probably sustainable,” he said.

“Indeed, we could see further gains in many regional cities as people adapt to the opportunities created by the more widespread acceptance – at least for white-collar occupations – of working from home.

“Much of the demand is coming from first-time buyers, who appear to perceive an opportunity to get into the housing market without facing the competition from cashed-up immigrants or negatively geared domestic investors, which has ‘squeezed’ them out for most of the preceding 30 years.”

But Westpac warns that prolonged border closures could hurt house prices from 2023.

“If borders remain closed for longer or migration inflows are slow to restart that could lead to a market-wide physical oversupply of dwellings by 2022,” the bank said.

“How that may influence market conditions and price growth is unclear.”

March 15, 2021 by ash 0 Comments

Newcastle NSW is the place to invest.

Transformed, revamped and booming. They are three words that now characterise the once industrial town of Newcastle in 2020. The City of Newcastle Council has predicted the area’s population to rise by 33% by 2036, with many property owners and investors describing it as a “hidden gem” and an “economic powerhouse.” With property prices on the rise and on the precipice of a boom, this article will outline what is driving Newcastle’s economic growth and answer the question: Should I Invest in Newcastle?

Newcastle’s property price growth has been consistently rising over the past 5 years, with it experiencing average growth in the period of 7.6% per annum. Forecasters are predicting that prices are set to grow by 7% in 2021. Vacancy rates have also reduced, with it at a low of 1.9% in 2018.

What is Driving this Growth?

Sydney’s Property Market

A lack of supply in Sydney’s property market is driving up house prices. Similarly, its significant population boom has put a strain on infrastructure, leading to significant road traffic. This is causing investors, prospective house buyers and those tired with the traffic and hustle and bustle of the city to look for other options, leading to significant interest in Newcastle property. The ability to purchase 3-4 bedroom properties that are under $800,000 and within 10-15 minutes of the beach and the CBD is an attractive offer compared to the traffic and substantial mortgage or rental payments of Sydney. Newcastle’s laid back lifestyle and lower property costs are driving investment, with many Sydneysider’s opting for change.

Newcastle’s Infrastructure Development

Newcastle is experiencing significant infrastructure development, significantly around the CBD and its Port. This is both driving jobs and investment into Newcastle, and transforming it from its industrial city background into a cultural and entertainment hotspot. Examples of these investments include the $9 billion being put into developing Newcastle’s Port to allow for international cruises and larger capacities for exports and imports. Similarly, half a billion is being allocated to establish an entertainment precinct in the CBD. Significant investment into suburban areas outside of the CBD is occurring, such as the development of the Maitland Hospital, and the significant amount of housing being built.

Development of the University of Newcastle and the Williamstown RAAF Base

Both universities and army bases can act as critical economic drivers for regional towns, as they attract large young populations, and significant knowledge and experience. This can be used to drive engineering, medical and business investment. The University of Newcastle has been making efforts in expanding its presence in the CBD, with it spending $95 million on its NewSpace campus. This has driven economic activity through its substantial creation of jobs, and its employees and students both spending in the CBD. The University of Newcastle has also announced the $25 million construction of its Honeysuckle campus in the city, which will only further boost economic activity.

The Williamstown RAAF base is another economic driver for Newcastle. The Federal Government has announced plans to spend $12 billion on F-35A joint strike fighter jets, a squadron of which will be based at Williamstown. This will require runway upgrades, maintenance crews, weapon loading centres and many other significant investments. It is estimated that 8,500 jobs will be created with this expenditure, creating further economic investment the Newcastle area.

March 11, 2021 by ash 0 Comments

Investing in Brisbane: how you can capitalise in the thriving property market

Brisbane has emerged as one of Australia’s best spots for investors after two major studies put it close to the top of their lists, even before the announcement that it’s the preferred candidate for hosting the the 2032 Summer Olympics.

Westpac’s Housing Pulse report for February 2021 reported that Brisbane dwelling prices are veering into “boom market” territory, predicting over 10 per cent growth this year.

“Queensland’s upswing has accelerated over the last three moths and is starting to tip into boom territory,” says the Westpac report author, senior economist Matthew Hassan.

“Sales are running well ahead of listings, especially for houses, with stock on market down to just 3.4 months of sales in Brisbane – the long run average is five months.”

The only softer markets in the city are top- and middle-tier Brisbane units and the inner CBD.

“Other segments are showing robust gains,” he says.

In addition, Knight Frank’s Wealth Report 2021 found Brisbane was one of the highest-performing Australian cities of the last year, behind only Perth and neighbouring Gold Coast.

It recorded growth of 2.5 per cent in its prime residential market – well above the global average of 1.9 per cent. 

That dwarfed both Sydney’s year average of 1.1 per cent and Melbourne’s of 0.9 per cent. 

“Queensland has fared very well throughout the whole COVID-19 situation,” says Michael Vettoretto of Queensland Sotheby’s International Realty.

“There’s higher demand for property in Brisbane and we’re seeing our inquiry level increasing by 42 per cent. 

“There’s so much demand from Sydney and it seems almost as though the whole of Victoria is trying to evacuate up here, looking for lifestyle. With interest rates at an all-time low, it’s absolutely a great place to invest in now.”

For the prestige market, it offers great value for money.

The Knight Frank report shows how US$1 million could buy 45 square metres of luxury property in Sydney in 2020, 87 square metres in Melbourne, 102 square metres in Perth and 109 square metres in Brisbane.  

Shayne Harris, Knight Frank’s national head of residential, says “the pandemic forced many to retreat in the comfort of their homes for the best part of 2020, so it’s not surprising prime property is becoming increasingly more attractive in destinations known for their lifestyles”.

Already, first-home buyers are out in force in Brisbane, but the next stage is seeing investors rush in, believes David Notley, the Brisbane director of valuers Herron Todd White. 

“A lot of house-and-land packages are being constructed to stimulate the first-home-buyer market,” he says.

“Once that’s finished, we’ll start to see the investors come back in. That’ll be the next wave.”

As more people learn about the big upswings in capital growth forecast for 2021 and 2022 in Brisbane, that will encourage the investors even more, predicts Jason Adcock of Adcock Prestige.

“While they’re looking at 10 per cent growth this year, they’re saying there could be an additional 10 per cent in 2022 – as against 7-8 per cent for Sydney and Melbourne,” he says.

“And Brisbane is a real value equation. We have people from Sydney and Melbourne coming up here in droves, in search of affordability and lifestyle, so Brisbane will be the go-to city for capital growth over the next two or three years.”